Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 15:03 • LNER Community Stadium
Match Finished
4 - 2
Expected Goals
5.05 (league 1.49) 1.05 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.0% 4.3% 2.4%
best score tips
5 - 1
6.4%
4 - 1
6.4%
5 - 0
6.1%
Score & goals probability table
Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
York 0 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 5.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 6.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 6.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricYorkMorecambe
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack94%50%
Defense63%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 38 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric York Morecambe
HATHAT
Played99188917
Wins56%56%56%25%11%18%
Draws22%44%33%13%33%24%
Loses22%0%11%63%56%59%

Form: York: DWDDWWWLWDLWWDDWWW • Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLLDLLWLDD

League goals

Metric York Morecambe
HATHAT
GF total261743121224
GF avg2.91.92.41.51.31.4
GA total9918212344
GA avg1.01.01.02.62.62.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineYorkMorecambe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%67%71%94%
1.567%28%35%76%
2.544%6%18%53%
3.533%0%18%24%
4.56%0%0%12%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricYorkMorecambe
HATHAT
Clean sheets426011
Failed to score112235

Penalties

MetricYorkMorecambe
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricYorkMorecambe
Wins31
Draws21
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-02-44-30-4
Biggest losses1-3—2-55-0
Goals For5444
Goals Against3255

Model comparison

MetricYorkMorecambe
Form69%31%
Att65%35%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h85%15%
Goals64%36%
Total70.3%29.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : York and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.21 @ Betano
Draw7.74 @ Pinnacle
Away11.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.54.34 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Marathonbet
No2.40 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): York = 5.05 (league 1.49), Morecambe = 1.05 (league 1.24)

Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
York 0 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.1% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.9% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 4.8% 5.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
4 6.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 6.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 4.3% · Away win 2.4%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1