Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 17:30 • The Jakemans Community Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.51) 1.56 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.7% 25.1% 60.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.3%
0 - 2
14.3%
0 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boston United 0 11.7% 18.3% 14.3% 7.4% 2.9% 0.9%
1 6.8% 10.7% 8.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
2 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoston UnitedCarlisle
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack38%77%
Defense23%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Boston United Carlisle
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins22%30%26%60%67%63%
Draws22%40%32%30%11%21%
Loses56%30%42%10%22%16%

Form: Boston United: WLLWLDLDLWDDWDLWLLD • Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWWWDWWD

League goals

Metric Boston United Carlisle
HATHAT
GF total71320241135
GF avg0.81.31.12.41.21.8
GA total141428101020
GA avg1.61.41.51.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoston UnitedCarlisle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%89%89%58%
1.526%37%53%26%
2.516%16%26%11%
3.50%5%11%5%
4.50%0%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoston UnitedCarlisle
HATHAT
Clean sheets202448
Failed to score437112

Penalties

MetricBoston UnitedCarlisle
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricBoston UnitedCarlisle
Wins14
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-35-00-2
Biggest losses0-43-00-25-0
Goals For2352
Goals Against4335

Model comparison

MetricBoston UnitedCarlisle
Form27%73%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h0%100%
Goals29%71%
Total29.8%70.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Carlisle

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.75 @ Bet365
Draw4.01 @ Pinnacle
Away1.68 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.81 @ 188Bet
No2.09 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Boston United = 0.58 (league 1.51), Carlisle = 1.56 (league 1.23)

Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boston United 0 11.7% 18.3% 14.3% 7.4% 2.9% 0.9%
1 6.8% 10.7% 8.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
2 2.0% 3.1% 2.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.7% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 60.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1