Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 12:30 • The Lamb Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.60 (league 1.50) 1.29 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.2% 29.2% 53.3%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.5%
0 - 0
15.1%
0 - 2
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Rochdale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 15.1% 19.5% 12.6% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5%
1 9.0% 11.7% 7.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 2.7% 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTamworthRochdale
Played55
Form40%67%
Attack54%62%
Defense23%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tamworth Rochdale
HATHAT
Played910198917
Wins33%50%42%88%67%76%
Draws33%10%21%0%11%6%
Loses33%40%37%13%22%18%

Form: Tamworth: LLWLDWWLWWDDWDWLLLW • Rochdale: WWWLWWWWWWLWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Tamworth Rochdale
HATHAT
GF total91524181432
GF avg1.01.51.32.31.61.9
GA total919284812
GA avg1.01.91.50.50.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTamworthRochdale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%84%94%41%
1.537%37%53%18%
2.55%16%29%6%
3.50%11%12%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTamworthRochdale
HATHAT
Clean sheets3035510
Failed to score123011

Penalties

MetricTamworthRochdale
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricTamworthRochdale
Wins26
Draws21
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-34-01-3
Biggest losses1-34-01-24-1
Goals For2343
Goals Against3424

Model comparison

MetricTamworthRochdale
Form38%63%
Att47%53%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h20%80%
Goals20%80%
Total31.7%68.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rochdale

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.51 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away1.76 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.05 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Bet365
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tamworth = 0.60 (league 1.50), Rochdale = 1.29 (league 1.24)

Rochdale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 15.1% 19.5% 12.6% 5.4% 1.8% 0.5%
1 9.0% 11.7% 7.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 2.7% 3.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.2% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 53.3%

vtt 4 , vtd1