Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:00 • Crown Oil Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.51) 0.37 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.3% 19.9% 6.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.4%
2 - 0
18.6%
3 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Eastleigh
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rochdale 0 11.1% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 7.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 6.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRochdaleEastleigh
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack47%40%
Defense60%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rochdale Eastleigh
HATHAT
Played81018101020
Wins88%70%78%40%20%30%
Draws0%10%6%20%30%25%
Loses13%20%17%40%50%45%

Form: Rochdale: WWWLWWWWWWLWWDWLWW • Eastleigh: LLWWLWLDLWDWDLDWLLDL

League goals

Metric Rochdale Eastleigh
HATHAT
GF total18163413922
GF avg2.31.61.91.30.91.1
GA total4913161228
GA avg0.50.90.71.61.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRochdaleEastleigh
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%44%65%85%
1.556%17%40%40%
2.528%6%5%10%
3.511%6%0%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRochdaleEastleigh
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510123
Failed to score011257

Penalties

MetricRochdaleEastleigh
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricRochdaleEastleigh
Wins62
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-24-12-42-0
Goals For4323
Goals Against2442

Model comparison

MetricRochdaleEastleigh
Form71%29%
Att54%46%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h75%25%
Goals71%29%
Total69.5%30.7%

Advice: Double chance : Rochdale or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.32 @ Betano
Draw5.49 @ Pinnacle
Away9.80 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.65 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.04 @ Pinnacle
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rochdale = 1.83 (league 1.51), Eastleigh = 0.37 (league 1.23)

Eastleigh
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rochdale 0 11.1% 4.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.4% 7.4% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.6% 6.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 4.2% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.3% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 6.6%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1