Fri, Dec 19 2025 • 19:45 • The J. Davidson Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.50) 1.94 (league 1.23)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.1% 21.6% 58.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
10.6%
0 - 2
10.3%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Rochdale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Altrincham 0 5.5% 10.6% 10.3% 6.7% 3.3% 1.3%
1 5.3% 10.2% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.5% 4.9% 4.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAltrinchamRochdale
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack57%64%
Defense43%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Altrincham Rochdale
HATHAT
Played11112291019
Wins55%18%36%89%70%79%
Draws0%18%9%0%10%5%
Loses45%64%55%11%20%16%

Form: Altrincham: WLLLWLWWLLLLLDLDWWWLWL • Rochdale: WWWLWWWWWWLWWDWLWWW

League goals

Metric Altrincham Rochdale
HATHAT
GF total18927201636
GF avg1.60.81.22.21.61.9
GA total1716334913
GA avg1.51.51.50.40.90.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAltrinchamRochdale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%77%95%42%
1.527%59%58%16%
2.59%14%26%5%
3.55%0%11%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAltrinchamRochdale
HATHAT
Clean sheets2356511
Failed to score134011

Penalties

MetricAltrinchamRochdale
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAltrinchamRochdale
Wins36
Draws11
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-24-01-3
Biggest losses1-33-01-24-1
Goals For4243
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricAltrinchamRochdale
Form43%57%
Att47%53%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h20%80%
Goals36%64%
Total36.8%63.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rochdale

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.75 @ Pinnacle
Away1.85 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ SBO
Under 2.52.15 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ 188Bet
No2.25 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Altrincham = 0.96 (league 1.50), Rochdale = 1.94 (league 1.23)

Rochdale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Altrincham 0 5.5% 10.6% 10.3% 6.7% 3.3% 1.3%
1 5.3% 10.2% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.5% 4.9% 4.8% 3.1% 1.5% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.1% · Draw 21.6% · Away win 58.8%

Vtot 16 , Vtod1