Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 16:00 • Mangata Pay UK Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.17 (league 1.50) 0.84 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.5% 30.2% 26.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.7%
0 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boreham Wood 0 13.4% 11.2% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.7% 13.2% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.2% 7.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBoreham WoodCarlisle
Played55
Form80%67%
Attack71%57%
Defense71%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Boreham Wood Carlisle
HATHAT
Played111021121022
Wins73%50%62%58%70%64%
Draws9%40%24%25%10%18%
Loses18%10%14%17%20%18%

Form: Boreham Wood: LDWWDWWWWDWDWWDLWWLWW • Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWWWDWWDWWL

League goals

Metric Boreham Wood Carlisle
HATHAT
GF total182240271340
GF avg1.62.21.92.31.31.8
GA total91221141125
GA avg0.81.21.01.21.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBoreham WoodCarlisle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%62%91%64%
1.562%29%55%27%
2.533%10%23%14%
3.55%0%9%5%
4.50%0%5%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBoreham WoodCarlisle
HATHAT
Clean sheets448448
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricBoreham WoodCarlisle
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricBoreham WoodCarlisle
Wins44
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-35-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-11-35-0
Goals For3452
Goals Against2335

Model comparison

MetricBoreham WoodCarlisle
Form55%45%
Att56%44%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h29%71%
Goals44%56%
Total51.0%49.0%

Advice: Double chance : Boreham Wood or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 188Bet
Draw4.12 @ Pinnacle
Away3.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Bet365
No2.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Boreham Wood = 1.17 (league 1.50), Carlisle = 0.84 (league 1.24)

Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Boreham Wood 0 13.4% 11.2% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.7% 13.2% 5.5% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 9.2% 7.7% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 3.6% 3.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 26.2%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1