Sun, Dec 21 2025 • 12:00 • St. James Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.50) 1.15 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.8% 25.6% 29.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
10.6%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brackley Town 0 7.1% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.6% 12.2% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.1% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBrackley TownMorecambe
Played55
Form0%27%
Attack29%29%
Defense14%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Brackley Town Morecambe
HATHAT
Played101121111122
Wins40%9%24%27%9%18%
Draws20%27%24%18%27%23%
Loses40%64%52%55%64%59%

Form: Brackley Town: WLWDDLDDWWLLLDLWLLLLL • Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLLDLLWLDDLWDLL

League goals

Metric Brackley Town Morecambe
HATHAT
GF total9615141428
GF avg0.90.50.71.31.31.3
GA total111627242852
GA avg1.11.51.32.22.52.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBrackley TownMorecambe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%64%86%
1.514%48%36%68%
2.50%10%14%50%
3.50%0%14%23%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBrackley TownMorecambe
HATHAT
Clean sheets426213
Failed to score369448

Penalties

MetricBrackley TownMorecambe
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricBrackley TownMorecambe
Wins21
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-12-00-4
Biggest losses1-32-02-55-0
Goals For2244
Goals Against3255

Model comparison

MetricBrackley TownMorecambe
Form0%100%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution57%43%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total49.0%51.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Morecambe

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away3.25 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.30 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Brackley Town = 1.50 (league 1.50), Morecambe = 1.15 (league 1.24)

Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Brackley Town 0 7.1% 8.1% 4.7% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.6% 12.2% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.9% 9.1% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.0% 4.6% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.5% 1.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.8% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 29.0%

Vtot 17 , Vtod1