Sat, Dec 20 2025 • 17:30 • The Lamb Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.50) 1.42 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.5% 27.2% 55.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 2
12.5%
0 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Southend
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 12.4% 17.6% 12.5% 5.9% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.7% 8.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.7% 3.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTamworthSouthend
Played55
Form20%47%
Attack47%47%
Defense20%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tamworth Southend
HATHAT
Played101222101020
Wins30%42%36%50%50%50%
Draws30%8%18%30%20%25%
Loses40%50%45%20%30%25%

Form: Tamworth: LLWLDWWLWWDDWDWLLLWLLL • Southend: WWDWDWLWDLLDWWWDLWWL

League goals

Metric Tamworth Southend
HATHAT
GF total101727161632
GF avg1.01.41.21.61.61.6
GA total11243561016
GA avg1.12.01.60.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTamworthSouthend
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%90%50%
1.532%45%45%25%
2.55%18%25%5%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTamworthSouthend
HATHAT
Clean sheets3036410
Failed to score123202

Penalties

MetricTamworthSouthend
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricTamworthSouthend
Wins23
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-02-33-00-3
Biggest losses1-34-00-23-2
Goals For2333
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricTamworthSouthend
Form30%70%
Att50%50%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h13%88%
Goals17%83%
Total28.3%71.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Southend

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.11 @ Pinnacle
Away1.82 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tamworth = 0.67 (league 1.50), Southend = 1.42 (league 1.24)

Southend
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 12.4% 17.6% 12.5% 5.9% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.7% 8.4% 4.0% 1.4% 0.4%
2 2.7% 3.9% 2.8% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
3 0.6% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.5% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 55.0%

vtt 5 , vtd1