Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.50) 0.84 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.4% 36.4% 37.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.2%
0 - 1
18.8%
1 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
Southend
0 1 2 3 4 5
Braintree 0 22.2% 18.8% 7.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.7% 12.4% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBraintreeSouthend
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack27%47%
Defense67%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

62%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Braintree Southend
HATHAT
Played121123101121
Wins33%9%22%50%45%48%
Draws33%18%26%30%18%24%
Loses33%73%52%20%36%29%

Form: Braintree: WLLWLDLLLWLLDDLDLLWDWLD • Southend: WWDWDWLWDLLDWWWDLWWLL

League goals

Metric Braintree Southend
HATHAT
GF total11617161733
GF avg0.90.50.71.61.51.6
GA total8233161218
GA avg0.72.11.30.61.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBraintreeSouthend
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.548%65%90%52%
1.517%43%43%29%
2.59%13%24%5%
3.50%9%0%0%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBraintreeSouthend
HATHAT
Clean sheets8086410
Failed to score5712202

Penalties

MetricBraintreeSouthend
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBraintreeSouthend
Wins13
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-00-3
Biggest losses2-35-00-23-2
Goals For3333
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricBraintreeSouthend
Form57%43%
Att36%64%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h20%80%
Goals0%100%
Total42.4%57.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Southend and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.25 @ 10Bet
Draw4.13 @ Pinnacle
Away1.68 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ SBO
Under 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.00 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Braintree = 0.66 (league 1.50), Southend = 0.84 (league 1.24)

Southend
0 1 2 3 4 5
Braintree 0 22.2% 18.8% 7.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 14.7% 12.4% 5.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 4.8% 4.1% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 36.4% · Away win 37.2%

Vtot 21 , Vtod1