Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Gateshead International Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.50) 2.22 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.6% 17.8% 69.0%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.0%
0 - 1
11.7%
0 - 3
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gateshead 0 5.3% 11.7% 13.0% 9.6% 5.4% 2.4%
1 3.8% 8.4% 9.4% 6.9% 3.9% 1.7%
2 1.4% 3.0% 3.4% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGatesheadCarlisle
Played55
Form0%47%
Attack27%40%
Defense0%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 38 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gateshead Carlisle
HATHAT
Played111122121123
Wins9%36%23%58%64%61%
Draws18%18%18%25%9%17%
Loses73%45%59%17%27%22%

Form: Gateshead: LWLWWDLLDLLWWLDDLLLLLL • Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWWWDWWDWWLL

League goals

Metric Gateshead Carlisle
HATHAT
GF total101828271340
GF avg0.91.61.32.31.21.7
GA total252853141327
GA avg2.32.52.41.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGatesheadCarlisle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.559%91%87%65%
1.541%77%52%30%
2.514%50%22%13%
3.59%18%9%4%
4.55%5%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGatesheadCarlisle
HATHAT
Clean sheets022448
Failed to score549123

Penalties

MetricGatesheadCarlisle
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricGatesheadCarlisle
Wins24
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-55-00-2
Biggest losses0-35-01-35-0
Goals For3552
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricGatesheadCarlisle
Form0%100%
Att40%60%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h80%20%
Goals75%25%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Carlisle

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.80 @ Pinnacle
Away1.47 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Betano
Under 2.52.94 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ Pinnacle
No2.45 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gateshead = 0.72 (league 1.50), Carlisle = 2.22 (league 1.24)

Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gateshead 0 5.3% 11.7% 13.0% 9.6% 5.4% 2.4%
1 3.8% 8.4% 9.4% 6.9% 3.9% 1.7%
2 1.4% 3.0% 3.4% 2.5% 1.4% 0.6%
3 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.6% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 69.0%

Vtot 18 , Vtod1