Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • The Prestige Group Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.49) 1.03 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
42.5% 27.8% 29.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.0%
1 - 0
12.6%
0 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Scunthorpe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hartlepool 0 9.6% 10.0% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.0% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHartlepoolScunthorpe
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack40%53%
Defense73%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Hartlepool Scunthorpe
HATHAT
Played121123101121
Wins33%36%35%60%45%52%
Draws50%36%43%30%36%33%
Loses17%27%22%10%18%14%

Form: Hartlepool: DWWWDDDLDLWDLLDWDWDWWLD • Scunthorpe: WWWDDDWDWWLWDDWWLDLWW

League goals

Metric Hartlepool Scunthorpe
HATHAT
GF total151126191837
GF avg1.31.01.11.91.61.8
GA total991881624
GA avg0.80.80.80.81.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHartlepoolScunthorpe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%52%90%86%
1.530%17%52%14%
2.513%9%29%10%
3.50%0%5%5%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHartlepoolScunthorpe
HATHAT
Clean sheets5611213
Failed to score347112

Penalties

MetricHartlepoolScunthorpe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricHartlepoolScunthorpe
Wins33
Draws33
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-24-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-10-13-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against2314

Model comparison

MetricHartlepoolScunthorpe
Form53%47%
Att43%57%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Double chance : Hartlepool or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away2.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.26 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Hartlepool = 1.31 (league 1.49), Scunthorpe = 1.03 (league 1.24)

Scunthorpe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Hartlepool 0 9.6% 10.0% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
1 12.6% 13.0% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 8.2% 8.5% 4.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 3.6% 3.7% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.2% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 42.5% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 29.4%

Vtot 23 , Vtod1