Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 15:00 • Mazuma Mobile Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.49) 3.02 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.6% 11.0% 74.8%
best score tips
0 - 3
11.2%
0 - 2
11.1%
0 - 4
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Rochdale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morecambe 0 2.4% 7.4% 11.1% 11.2% 8.4% 5.1%
1 1.7% 5.1% 7.7% 7.8% 5.9% 3.5%
2 0.6% 1.8% 2.7% 2.7% 2.0% 1.2%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMorecambeRochdale
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack27%60%
Defense73%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morecambe Rochdale
HATHAT
Played11122391120
Wins27%17%22%89%73%80%
Draws18%25%22%0%9%5%
Loses55%58%57%11%18%15%

Form: Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLLDLLWLDDLWDLLW • Rochdale: WWWLWWWWWWLWWDWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Morecambe Rochdale
HATHAT
GF total141630201939
GF avg1.31.31.32.21.72.0
GA total2428524913
GA avg2.22.32.30.40.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMorecambeRochdale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%83%95%40%
1.539%65%60%15%
2.513%48%30%5%
3.513%22%10%5%
4.50%9%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMorecambeRochdale
HATHAT
Clean sheets2246612
Failed to score448011

Penalties

MetricMorecambeRochdale
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricMorecambeRochdale
Wins16
Draws21
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-44-00-3
Biggest losses2-55-01-24-1
Goals For4443
Goals Against5524

Model comparison

MetricMorecambeRochdale
Form37%63%
Att31%69%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution18%82%
H2h40%60%
Goals54%46%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Winner : Rochdale

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.50 @ Betfair
Draw4.99 @ Pinnacle
Away1.48 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.51 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morecambe = 0.70 (league 1.49), Rochdale = 3.02 (league 1.24)

Rochdale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morecambe 0 2.4% 7.4% 11.1% 11.2% 8.4% 5.1%
1 1.7% 5.1% 7.7% 7.8% 5.9% 3.5%
2 0.6% 1.8% 2.7% 2.7% 2.0% 1.2%
3 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.6% · Draw 11.0% · Away win 74.8%

Vtot 19 , Vtod1