Tue, Dec 30 2025 • 19:45 • Crown Oil Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.49) 0.32 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
58.1% 31.6% 10.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.3%
0 - 0
22.3%
2 - 0
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Hartlepool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rochdale 0 22.3% 7.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.3% 8.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRochdaleHartlepool
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack59%35%
Defense88%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rochdale Hartlepool
HATHAT
Played91221131124
Wins89%75%81%31%36%33%
Draws0%8%5%46%36%42%
Loses11%17%14%23%27%25%

Form: Rochdale: WWWLWWWWWWLWWDWLWWWWW • Hartlepool: DWWWDDDLDLWDLLDWDWDWWLDL

League goals

Metric Rochdale Hartlepool
HATHAT
GF total202141161127
GF avg2.21.82.01.21.01.1
GA total4101411920
GA avg0.40.80.70.80.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRochdaleHartlepool
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.595%43%71%54%
1.562%14%29%21%
2.529%5%13%8%
3.510%5%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRochdaleHartlepool
HATHAT
Clean sheets66125611
Failed to score011347

Penalties

MetricRochdaleHartlepool
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricRochdaleHartlepool
Wins63
Draws13
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-24-10-23-1
Goals For4333
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricRochdaleHartlepool
Form68%32%
Att63%38%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total69.5%30.7%

Advice: Double chance : Rochdale or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.54 @ 188Bet
Draw4.46 @ Pinnacle
Away6.63 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.23 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ Betfair
No2.07 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rochdale = 1.18 (league 1.49), Hartlepool = 0.32 (league 1.24)

Hartlepool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rochdale 0 22.3% 7.2% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.3% 8.5% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.5% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.1% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 58.1% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 10.1%

Vtot 21 , Vtod5