Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 15:00 • Brunton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.61 (league 1.52) 1.10 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.7% 16.5% 13.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.2%
2 - 0
8.3%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Wealdstone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carlisle 0 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.4% 7.0% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.2% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.2% 8.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.7% 5.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarlisleWealdstone
Played55
Form60%13%
Attack88%50%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carlisle Wealdstone
HATHAT
Played131225121224
Wins62%67%64%42%25%33%
Draws23%8%16%33%33%33%
Loses15%25%20%25%42%33%

Form: Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWWWDWWDWWLLWW • Wealdstone: WWWLLLWDLDDWDLWWWDDDLDLL

League goals

Metric Carlisle Wealdstone
HATHAT
GF total281644171633
GF avg2.21.31.81.41.31.4
GA total141327172239
GA avg1.11.11.11.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarlisleWealdstone
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%60%79%79%
1.552%28%42%46%
2.524%12%13%21%
3.58%4%4%17%
4.54%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarlisleWealdstone
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510325
Failed to score123325

Penalties

MetricCarlisleWealdstone
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricCarlisleWealdstone
Wins43
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-34-20-2
Biggest losses1-35-00-44-0
Goals For5343
Goals Against3544

Model comparison

MetricCarlisleWealdstone
Form82%18%
Att64%36%
Def68%32%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total70.8%29.3%

Advice: Double chance : Carlisle or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw4.99 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.57 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carlisle = 2.61 (league 1.52), Wealdstone = 1.10 (league 1.30)

Wealdstone
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carlisle 0 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 6.4% 7.0% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.3% 9.2% 5.1% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.2% 8.0% 4.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
4 4.7% 5.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.5% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.7% · Draw 16.5% · Away win 13.8%

vtt 5 , vtd1