Wed, Jan 21 2026 • 19:45 • Brunton Park
Match Finished
0 - 3
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.50) 1.61 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.2% 23.6% 39.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
8.6%
2 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
York
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carlisle 0 4.3% 6.9% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
1 6.6% 10.6% 8.6% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.6% 4.2% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarlisleYork
Played55
Form67%73%
Attack45%55%
Defense75%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carlisle York
HATHAT
Played141327141226
Wins64%62%63%57%67%62%
Draws21%15%19%29%33%31%
Loses14%23%19%14%0%8%

Form: Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWWWDWWDWWLLWWWD • York: DWDDWWWLWDLWWDDWWWWWWWDWWD

League goals

Metric Carlisle York
HATHAT
GF total301949422466
GF avg2.11.51.83.02.02.5
GA total141630151328
GA avg1.01.21.11.11.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarlisleYork
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%59%92%73%
1.556%30%73%31%
2.526%15%46%4%
3.57%4%35%0%
4.54%4%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarlisleYork
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511527
Failed to score123112

Penalties

MetricCarlisleYork
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricCarlisleYork
Wins47
Draws22
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-35-02-4
Biggest losses1-35-01-3—
Goals For5354
Goals Against3532

Model comparison

MetricCarlisleYork
Form48%52%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h25%75%
Goals21%79%
Total39.7%60.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or York

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away2.27 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ 10Bet
Under 2.52.34 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.56 @ 188Bet
No2.54 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carlisle = 1.54 (league 1.50), York = 1.61 (league 1.24)

York
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carlisle 0 4.3% 6.9% 5.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
1 6.6% 10.6% 8.6% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.2% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5%
3 2.6% 4.2% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.0% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.2% · Draw 23.6% · Away win 39.1%

vtt 2 , vtd1