Tue, Mar 10 2026 • 19:45 • The EBB Stadium at The Recreation Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.51) 2.32 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.4% 19.8% 50.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.4%
1 - 1
7.3%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aldershot Town 0 1.9% 4.5% 5.2% 4.0% 2.3% 1.1%
1 3.1% 7.3% 8.4% 6.5% 3.8% 1.8%
2 2.6% 5.9% 6.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.4% 3.2% 3.8% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAldershot TownCarlisle
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack40%55%
Defense65%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aldershot Town Carlisle
HATHAT
Played161935191736
Wins38%32%34%63%59%61%
Draws13%21%17%21%12%17%
Loses50%47%49%16%29%22%

Form: Aldershot Town: LLLWWDDDLWLLDLLLLLLLLWWDWLWWWDWWWLL • Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWWWDWWDWWLLWWWDLWLWWWLWD

League goals

Metric Aldershot Town Carlisle
HATHAT
GF total303161412566
GF avg1.91.61.72.21.51.8
GA total323365222244
GA avg2.01.71.91.21.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAldershot TownCarlisle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%86%86%67%
1.554%54%58%33%
2.523%29%31%17%
3.511%11%6%3%
4.53%6%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAldershot TownCarlisle
HATHAT
Clean sheets2357512
Failed to score156235

Penalties

MetricAldershot TownCarlisle
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricAldershot TownCarlisle
Wins34
Draws32
Losses82

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-55-00-3
Biggest losses1-55-10-35-0
Goals For4553
Goals Against5535

Model comparison

MetricAldershot TownCarlisle
Form47%53%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Carlisle

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Unibet
Draw3.65 @ Pinnacle
Away2.64 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.23 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.43 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aldershot Town = 1.63 (league 1.51), Carlisle = 2.32 (league 1.29)

Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aldershot Town 0 1.9% 4.5% 5.2% 4.0% 2.3% 1.1%
1 3.1% 7.3% 8.4% 6.5% 3.8% 1.8%
2 2.6% 5.9% 6.9% 5.3% 3.1% 1.4%
3 1.4% 3.2% 3.8% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8%
4 0.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.4% · Draw 19.8% · Away win 50.1%

vtt 9 , vtd1