Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:00 •
EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.50)
2.55 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 20.0% | 18.1% | 57.0% |
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 3
7.4%
1 - 1
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Carlisle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aldershot Town | 0 | 1.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Aldershot Town | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 100% | 82% |
| Defense | 36% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
94%
FT probability
2.5+
66%
FT probability
3.5+
47%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Aldershot Town | Carlisle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 31% | 21% | 26% | 64% | 62% | 63% |
| Draws | 15% | 21% | 19% | 21% | 15% | 19% |
| Loses | 54% | 57% | 56% | 14% | 23% | 19% |
Form: Aldershot Town: LLLWWDDDLWLLDLLLLLLLLWWDWLW • Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWWWDWWDWWLLWWWD
League goals
| Metric | Aldershot Town | Carlisle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 22 | 46 | 30 | 19 | 49 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 2.1 | 1.5 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 27 | 28 | 55 | 14 | 16 | 30 |
| GA avg | 2.1 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Aldershot Town | Carlisle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 81% | 85% | 89% | 59% |
| 1.5 | 52% | 59% | 56% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 37% | 26% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 15% | 7% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 7% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Aldershot Town | Carlisle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Aldershot Town | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Aldershot Town | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 8 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-5 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-5 | 5-1 | 1-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Aldershot Town | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 55% | 45% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 38% | 62% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Carlisle
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Aldershot Town = 1.44 (league 1.50), Carlisle = 2.55 (league 1.24)
| Carlisle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Aldershot Town | 0 | 1.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| 1 | 2.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.7% | |
| 3 | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.0% · Draw 18.1% · Away win 57.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1