Sat, Jan 24 2026 • 15:00 • The Lamb Ground
Not Started
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Expected Goals
1.60 (league 1.50) 0.97 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.6% 25.0% 22.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.9%
2 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sutton Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 7.7% 7.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.3% 11.9% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTamworthSutton Utd
Played55
Form47%13%
Attack30%15%
Defense45%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

82%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tamworth Sutton Utd
HATHAT
Played131427141226
Wins38%36%37%29%8%19%
Draws23%14%19%36%33%35%
Loses38%50%44%36%58%46%

Form: Tamworth: LLWLDWWLWWDDWDWLLLWLLLWLLWD • Sutton Utd: DDLLLWLLLLDDLDDLWDWWWLDLLD

League goals

Metric Tamworth Sutton Utd
HATHAT
GF total151833241236
GF avg1.21.31.21.71.01.4
GA total153146232447
GA avg1.22.21.71.62.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTamworthSutton Utd
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%85%73%85%
1.533%44%46%54%
2.57%19%15%27%
3.50%11%4%15%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTamworthSutton Utd
HATHAT
Clean sheets314314
Failed to score235257

Penalties

MetricTamworthSutton Utd
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricTamworthSutton Utd
Wins23
Draws22
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-34-22-3
Biggest losses1-37-13-44-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against3744

Model comparison

MetricTamworthSutton Utd
Form78%22%
Att67%33%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h64%36%
Goals55%45%
Total61.3%38.7%

Advice: Double chance : Tamworth or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ Unibet
Draw3.55 @ Betano
Away3.15 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.67 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tamworth = 1.60 (league 1.50), Sutton Utd = 0.97 (league 1.24)

Sutton Utd
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 7.7% 7.4% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.3% 11.9% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.5% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.6% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 22.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1