Tue, Mar 17 2026 • 19:45 • Roots Hall
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.95 (league 1.51) 0.97 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.6% 31.6% 34.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
14.6%
0 - 1
14.2%
1 - 0
13.9%
Score & goals probability table
Rochdale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southend 0 14.6% 14.2% 6.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.5% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.6% 6.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthendRochdale
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack46%85%
Defense54%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southend Rochdale
HATHAT
Played171835191837
Wins53%39%46%84%72%78%
Draws29%28%29%5%17%11%
Loses18%33%26%11%11%11%

Form: Southend: WWDWDWLWDLLDWWWDLWWLLWWDWDLLWWLDDDW • Rochdale: WWWLWWWWWWLWWDWLWWWWWLWWWWWWWDDWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Southend Rochdale
HATHAT
GF total302858403272
GF avg1.81.61.72.11.81.9
GA total122133121426
GA avg0.71.20.90.60.80.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthendRochdale
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%60%97%49%
1.543%29%62%16%
2.526%6%27%3%
3.56%0%8%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthendRochdale
HATHAT
Clean sheets861410919
Failed to score314011

Penalties

MetricSouthendRochdale
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricSouthendRochdale
Wins37
Draws32
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-34-00-3
Biggest losses0-23-21-24-1
Goals For5343
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricSouthendRochdale
Form32%68%
Att35%65%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.3%56.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rochdale

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.71 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.75 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.19 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No2.03 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southend = 0.95 (league 1.51), Rochdale = 0.97 (league 1.29)

Rochdale
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southend 0 14.6% 14.2% 6.9% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.5% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.6% 6.4% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.1% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.6% · Draw 31.6% · Away win 34.7%

vtt 4 , vtd2