Tue, Mar 3 2026 • 19:45 • Grosvenor Vale
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.07 (league 1.51) 1.42 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.7% 21.2% 25.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 2
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wealdstone 0 3.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.4% 9.0% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.3% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWealdstoneMorecambe
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack21%58%
Defense47%37%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.811 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Wealdstone Morecambe
HATHAT
Played151631181735
Wins47%19%32%22%12%17%
Draws27%31%29%22%29%26%
Loses27%50%39%56%59%57%

Form: Wealdstone: WWWLLLWDLDDWDLWWWDDDLDLLLWDLLLW • Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLLDLLWLDDLWDLLWLLDLLDLDLWDL

League goals

Metric Wealdstone Morecambe
HATHAT
GF total201838242246
GF avg1.31.11.21.31.31.3
GA total213051354075
GA avg1.41.91.61.92.42.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWealdstoneMorecambe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%81%66%86%
1.539%48%37%63%
2.510%23%14%37%
3.53%13%14%20%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWealdstoneMorecambe
HATHAT
Clean sheets426325
Failed to score4596612

Penalties

MetricWealdstoneMorecambe
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricWealdstoneMorecambe
Wins31
Draws32
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-24-00-4
Biggest losses0-44-02-55-0
Goals For4344
Goals Against4455

Model comparison

MetricWealdstoneMorecambe
Form44%56%
Att27%73%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h0%100%
Goals43%57%
Total45.6%54.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Morecambe

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.07 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.78 @ Pinnacle
Away3.40 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ SBO
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.36 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Wealdstone = 2.07 (league 1.51), Morecambe = 1.42 (league 1.29)

Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Wealdstone 0 3.1% 4.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
1 6.4% 9.0% 6.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.6% 9.3% 6.6% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.5% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2%
4 2.3% 3.3% 2.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.7% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 25.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1