Sat, Feb 7 2026 • 15:00 • The Lamb Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.52) 0.76 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.4% 36.9% 32.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.6%
0 - 1
17.2%
1 - 0
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
Hartlepool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 22.6% 17.2% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.4% 12.5% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTamworthHartlepool
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack24%18%
Defense35%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tamworth Hartlepool
HATHAT
Played141428161430
Wins36%36%36%38%36%37%
Draws21%14%18%38%36%37%
Loses43%50%46%25%29%27%

Form: Tamworth: LLWLDWWLWWDDWDWLLLWLLLWLLWDL • Hartlepool: DWWWDDDLDLWDLLDWDWDWWLDLWLWWDL

League goals

Metric Tamworth Hartlepool
HATHAT
GF total151833191332
GF avg1.11.31.21.20.91.1
GA total163147151429
GA avg1.12.21.70.91.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTamworthHartlepool
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%86%67%57%
1.532%43%30%23%
2.57%18%10%13%
3.50%11%0%3%
4.50%4%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTamworthHartlepool
HATHAT
Clean sheets3146713
Failed to score3364610

Penalties

MetricTamworthHartlepool
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricTamworthHartlepool
Wins23
Draws23
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-33-00-2
Biggest losses1-37-10-34-0
Goals For3333
Goals Against3734

Model comparison

MetricTamworthHartlepool
Form36%64%
Att57%43%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h33%67%
Goals44%56%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Hartlepool

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.34 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.02 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.82 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ Pinnacle
No2.06 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tamworth = 0.72 (league 1.52), Hartlepool = 0.76 (league 1.30)

Hartlepool
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 22.6% 17.2% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.4% 12.5% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.9% 4.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.4% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.4% · Draw 36.9% · Away win 32.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1