Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 19:45 • Mazuma Mobile Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.75 (league 1.51) 2.12 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.4% 20.7% 44.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.2%
1 - 1
7.7%
2 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tamworth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morecambe 0 2.1% 4.4% 4.7% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7%
1 3.6% 7.7% 8.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.8% 7.2% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
3 1.9% 3.9% 4.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMorecambeTamworth
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack36%36%
Defense27%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Morecambe Tamworth
HATHAT
Played151530151429
Wins20%13%17%33%36%34%
Draws20%27%23%27%14%21%
Loses60%60%60%40%50%45%

Form: Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLLDLLWLDDLWDLLWLLDLLDL • Tamworth: LLWLDWWLWWDDWDWLLLWLLLWLLWDLD

League goals

Metric Morecambe Tamworth
HATHAT
GF total181735161834
GF avg1.21.11.21.11.31.2
GA total323163173148
GA avg2.12.12.11.12.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMorecambeTamworth
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%87%79%86%
1.533%63%31%41%
2.510%37%7%17%
3.510%17%0%10%
4.50%7%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMorecambeTamworth
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score5611336

Penalties

MetricMorecambeTamworth
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricMorecambeTamworth
Wins12
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-43-12-3
Biggest losses2-55-01-37-1
Goals For4433
Goals Against5537

Model comparison

MetricMorecambeTamworth
Form29%71%
Att50%50%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total43.5%56.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Tamworth

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Unibet
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away3.20 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.18 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ 188Bet
No2.38 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Morecambe = 1.75 (league 1.51), Tamworth = 2.12 (league 1.29)

Tamworth
0 1 2 3 4 5
Morecambe 0 2.1% 4.4% 4.7% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7%
1 3.6% 7.7% 8.2% 5.8% 3.1% 1.3%
2 3.2% 6.8% 7.2% 5.1% 2.7% 1.1%
3 1.9% 3.9% 4.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.7%
4 0.8% 1.7% 1.8% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
5 0.3% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.4% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 44.8%

vtt 2 , vtd1