Tue, Feb 10 2026 • 19:45 • Brunton Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.95 (league 1.51) 1.54 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.9% 21.9% 30.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 1
8.9%
1 - 2
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Scunthorpe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carlisle 0 3.1% 4.7% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.0% 9.2% 7.1% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.9% 6.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.8% 5.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarlisleScunthorpe
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack73%100%
Defense27%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carlisle Scunthorpe
HATHAT
Played161430131427
Wins63%57%60%69%50%59%
Draws19%14%17%23%36%30%
Loses19%29%23%8%14%11%

Form: Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWWWDWWDWWLLWWWDLWL • Scunthorpe: WWWDDDWDWWLWDDWWLDLWWWWDWWW

League goals

Metric Carlisle Scunthorpe
HATHAT
GF total331952252550
GF avg2.11.41.71.91.81.9
GA total181735102030
GA avg1.11.21.20.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarlisleScunthorpe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%63%93%81%
1.553%30%59%19%
2.527%17%30%7%
3.57%3%4%4%
4.53%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarlisleScunthorpe
HATHAT
Clean sheets6511415
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricCarlisleScunthorpe
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricCarlisleScunthorpe
Wins44
Draws23
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-34-01-3
Biggest losses0-35-00-13-0
Goals For5343
Goals Against3524

Model comparison

MetricCarlisleScunthorpe
Form35%65%
Att42%58%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : Carlisle or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.45 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away2.80 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.06 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.28 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carlisle = 1.95 (league 1.51), Scunthorpe = 1.54 (league 1.29)

Scunthorpe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carlisle 0 3.1% 4.7% 3.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.0% 9.2% 7.1% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.8% 8.9% 6.9% 3.5% 1.4% 0.4%
3 3.8% 5.8% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
4 1.8% 2.8% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 30.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1