Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 17:30 • The Bolt New Lawn
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.51 (league 1.51) 0.97 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.3% 25.9% 24.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Forest Green 0 8.4% 8.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.3% 5.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.3% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricForest GreenCarlisle
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack41%41%
Defense55%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Forest Green Carlisle
HATHAT
Played161632171431
Wins63%38%50%65%57%61%
Draws31%31%31%18%14%16%
Loses6%31%19%18%29%23%

Form: Forest Green: DWWWWDWWDWWDDLLWWWWDWDWLDWDDLWLL • Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWWWDWWDWWLLWWWDLWLW

League goals

Metric Forest Green Carlisle
HATHAT
GF total302454361955
GF avg1.91.51.72.11.41.8
GA total142135201737
GA avg0.91.31.11.21.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineForest GreenCarlisle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%84%65%
1.553%25%55%32%
2.519%6%29%16%
3.59%3%6%3%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricForest GreenCarlisle
HATHAT
Clean sheets4486511
Failed to score134235

Penalties

MetricForest GreenCarlisle
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricForest GreenCarlisle
Wins44
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-35-00-3
Biggest losses0-14-20-35-0
Goals For4353
Goals Against2435

Model comparison

MetricForest GreenCarlisle
Form36%64%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total57.5%42.5%

Advice: Double chance : Forest Green or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.91 @ Pinnacle
Away3.85 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.29 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Forest Green = 1.51 (league 1.51), Carlisle = 0.97 (league 1.30)

Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Forest Green 0 8.4% 8.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 12.7% 12.3% 5.9% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.3% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.3% · Draw 25.9% · Away win 24.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1