Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • Roots Hall
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.50 (league 1.51) 0.51 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.6% 13.5% 5.6%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.4%
3 - 0
12.8%
1 - 0
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southend 0 4.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.3% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 7.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSouthendMorecambe
Played55
Form33%13%
Attack53%24%
Defense53%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Southend Morecambe
HATHAT
Played121628161531
Wins58%38%46%19%13%16%
Draws25%25%25%25%27%26%
Loses17%38%29%56%60%58%

Form: Southend: WWDWDWLWDLLDWWWDLWWLLWWDWDLL • Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLLDLLWLDDLWDLLWLLDLLDLD

League goals

Metric Southend Morecambe
HATHAT
GF total212344201737
GF avg1.81.41.61.31.11.2
GA total71926343165
GA avg0.61.20.92.12.12.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSouthendMorecambe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%57%65%87%
1.539%29%35%65%
2.525%7%10%35%
3.54%0%10%16%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSouthendMorecambe
HATHAT
Clean sheets7512224
Failed to score2135611

Penalties

MetricSouthendMorecambe
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricSouthendMorecambe
Wins31
Draws12
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-32-00-4
Biggest losses0-23-22-55-0
Goals For4344
Goals Against2355

Model comparison

MetricSouthendMorecambe
Form71%29%
Att69%31%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution82%18%
H2h29%71%
Goals46%54%
Total57.8%42.2%

Advice: Winner : Southend

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw5.24 @ Pinnacle
Away6.69 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.07 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Southend = 2.50 (league 1.51), Morecambe = 0.51 (league 1.29)

Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Southend 0 4.9% 2.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.3% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.4% 7.9% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 12.8% 6.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.0% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.6% · Draw 13.5% · Away win 5.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1