Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 15:00 • The Lamb Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.51) 1.45 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.6% 25.1% 38.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 2
8.6%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Aldershot Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 5.9% 8.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.1% 11.8% 8.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.2% 5.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTamworthAldershot Town
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack35%88%
Defense71%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tamworth Aldershot Town
HATHAT
Played151530141529
Wins33%33%33%36%27%31%
Draws27%20%23%14%20%17%
Loses40%47%43%50%53%52%

Form: Tamworth: LLWLDWWLWWDDWDWLLLWLLLWLLWDLDD • Aldershot Town: LLLWWDDDLWLLDLLLLLLLLWWDWLWWW

League goals

Metric Tamworth Aldershot Town
HATHAT
GF total162036272552
GF avg1.11.31.21.91.71.8
GA total173350292857
GA avg1.12.21.72.11.92.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTamworthAldershot Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%87%83%83%
1.533%43%55%59%
2.57%17%24%34%
3.50%10%14%14%
4.50%3%3%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTamworthAldershot Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets314235
Failed to score336055

Penalties

MetricTamworthAldershot Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total26

Streaks

MetricTamworthAldershot Town
Wins22
Draws23
Losses38

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-34-01-5
Biggest losses1-37-11-55-1
Goals For3345
Goals Against3755

Model comparison

MetricTamworthAldershot Town
Form33%67%
Att29%71%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h71%29%
Goals42%58%
Total47.7%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : Tamworth or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.72 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ Bet365
Away2.54 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.25 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.62 @ Bet365
No2.48 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tamworth = 1.38 (league 1.51), Aldershot Town = 1.45 (league 1.29)

Aldershot Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 5.9% 8.5% 6.2% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 8.1% 11.8% 8.6% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4%
2 5.6% 8.2% 5.9% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.6% 3.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.6% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 38.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1