Tue, Feb 24 2026 • 19:45 • The Lamb Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.51) 0.68 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.0% 32.2% 22.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.6%
0 - 0
17.0%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Altrincham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 17.0% 11.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.6% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.1% 6.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTamworthAltrincham
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack19%24%
Defense76%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tamworth Altrincham
HATHAT
Played161632181533
Wins31%31%31%50%13%33%
Draws31%25%28%6%20%12%
Loses38%44%41%44%67%55%

Form: Tamworth: LLWLDWWLWWDDWDWLLLWLLLWLLWDLDDDD • Altrincham: WLLLWLWWLLLLLDLDWWWLWLLLLLDWLDLWW

League goals

Metric Tamworth Altrincham
HATHAT
GF total172037261238
GF avg1.11.31.21.40.81.2
GA total183351262349
GA avg1.12.11.61.41.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTamworthAltrincham
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%84%79%82%
1.531%41%24%52%
2.56%16%9%15%
3.50%9%3%0%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTamworthAltrincham
HATHAT
Clean sheets325336
Failed to score347347

Penalties

MetricTamworthAltrincham
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricTamworthAltrincham
Wins23
Draws21
Losses35

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-12-34-20-2
Biggest losses1-37-10-33-0
Goals For3342
Goals Against3733

Model comparison

MetricTamworthAltrincham
Form36%64%
Att44%56%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Tamworth or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.43 @ Pinnacle
Away3.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.79 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ 188Bet
No2.32 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Tamworth = 1.09 (league 1.51), Altrincham = 0.68 (league 1.30)

Altrincham
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tamworth 0 17.0% 11.6% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 18.6% 12.6% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 10.1% 6.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 3.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.0% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 22.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1