Wed, Feb 25 2026 • 19:45 • Gateshead International Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.51) 1.96 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.3% 21.9% 53.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.9%
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gateshead 0 4.2% 8.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.1% 9.9% 9.7% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.1% 6.1% 5.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGatesheadMorecambe
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack32%47%
Defense63%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gateshead Morecambe
HATHAT
Played141731171633
Wins7%35%23%24%13%18%
Draws14%12%13%24%25%24%
Loses79%53%65%53%63%58%

Form: Gateshead: LWLWWDLLDLLWWLDDLLLLLLLLLLLLLWW • Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLLDLLWLDDLWDLLWLLDLLDLDLW

League goals

Metric Gateshead Morecambe
HATHAT
GF total112435241842
GF avg0.81.41.11.41.11.3
GA total323870343670
GA avg2.32.22.32.02.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGatesheadMorecambe
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%94%67%85%
1.535%74%36%64%
2.510%42%12%36%
3.56%13%12%18%
4.53%3%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGatesheadMorecambe
HATHAT
Clean sheets022325
Failed to score76135611

Penalties

MetricGatesheadMorecambe
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricGatesheadMorecambe
Wins21
Draws22
Losses134

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-54-00-4
Biggest losses0-35-02-55-0
Goals For3544
Goals Against3555

Model comparison

MetricGatesheadMorecambe
Form55%45%
Att40%60%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Morecambe

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.88 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.43 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.51 @ Pinnacle
No2.60 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gateshead = 1.22 (league 1.51), Morecambe = 1.96 (league 1.29)

Morecambe
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gateshead 0 4.2% 8.2% 8.0% 5.2% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.1% 9.9% 9.7% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.1% 6.1% 5.9% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.3% 2.5% 2.4% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.3% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 53.1%

vtt 2 , vtd1