Sat, Feb 28 2026 • 15:00 • Silverlake Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.21 (league 1.51) 1.96 (league 1.29)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.1% 21.9% 53.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eastleigh 0 4.2% 8.3% 8.1% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.1% 6.0% 5.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEastleighCarlisle
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack39%43%
Defense52%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Eastleigh Carlisle
HATHAT
Played161834181634
Wins31%28%29%67%56%62%
Draws31%22%26%17%13%15%
Loses38%50%44%17%31%24%

Form: Eastleigh: LLWWLWLDLWDWDLDWLLDLLWDDWLLLLDWDLW • Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWWWDWWDWWLLWWWDLWLWWWL

League goals

Metric Eastleigh Carlisle
HATHAT
GF total232043392362
GF avg1.41.11.32.21.41.8
GA total292958202141
GA avg1.81.61.71.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEastleighCarlisle
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%91%85%65%
1.544%50%56%32%
2.59%18%32%18%
3.50%12%6%3%
4.50%0%3%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEastleighCarlisle
HATHAT
Clean sheets1237512
Failed to score279235

Penalties

MetricEastleighCarlisle
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricEastleighCarlisle
Wins24
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-35-00-3
Biggest losses1-44-00-35-0
Goals For2353
Goals Against4435

Model comparison

MetricEastleighCarlisle
Form47%53%
Att47%53%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.2%54.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Carlisle

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away1.82 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.89 @ SBO
Under 2.52.10 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Pinnacle
No2.16 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Eastleigh = 1.21 (league 1.51), Carlisle = 1.96 (league 1.29)

Carlisle
0 1 2 3 4 5
Eastleigh 0 4.2% 8.3% 8.1% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 3.1% 6.0% 5.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.2% 2.4% 2.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.1% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 53.4%

vtt 3 , vtd1