Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 15:00 • The EBB Stadium at The Recreation Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.52) 3.23 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.7% 12.0% 68.3%
best score tips
1 - 3
8.2%
0 - 3
7.6%
1 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
York
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aldershot Town 0 1.4% 4.4% 7.1% 7.6% 6.2% 4.0%
1 1.4% 4.7% 7.6% 8.2% 6.6% 4.3%
2 0.8% 2.5% 4.0% 4.3% 3.5% 2.3%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% 0.8%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAldershot TownYork
Played55
Form40%80%
Attack30%65%
Defense60%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Aldershot Town York
HATHAT
Played171936191837
Wins35%32%33%68%72%70%
Draws12%21%17%21%22%22%
Loses53%47%50%11%6%8%

Form: Aldershot Town: LLLWWDDDLWLLDLLLLLLLLWWDWLWWWDWWWLLL • York: DWDDWWWLWDLWWDDWWWWWWWDWWDWWWWWWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Aldershot Town York
HATHAT
GF total303161593897
GF avg1.81.61.73.12.12.6
GA total343367201636
GA avg2.01.71.91.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAldershot TownYork
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%86%95%65%
1.553%56%78%27%
2.522%28%51%5%
3.511%11%30%0%
4.53%6%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAldershot TownYork
HATHAT
Clean sheets2356713
Failed to score257112

Penalties

MetricAldershot TownYork
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%10 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total610

Streaks

MetricAldershot TownYork
Wins39
Draws32
Losses81

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-55-00-3
Biggest losses1-55-11-33-2
Goals For4554
Goals Against5533

Model comparison

MetricAldershot TownYork
Form33%67%
Att32%68%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h15%85%
Goals22%78%
Total27.3%72.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or York

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.30 @ Pinnacle
Away1.72 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.46 @ Pinnacle
No2.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Aldershot Town = 1.07 (league 1.52), York = 3.23 (league 1.30)

York
0 1 2 3 4 5
Aldershot Town 0 1.4% 4.4% 7.1% 7.6% 6.2% 4.0%
1 1.4% 4.7% 7.6% 8.2% 6.6% 4.3%
2 0.8% 2.5% 4.0% 4.3% 3.5% 2.3%
3 0.3% 0.9% 1.4% 1.5% 1.2% 0.8%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.7% · Draw 12.0% · Away win 68.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1