Tue, Apr 21 2026 • 18:45 •
The Prestige Group Stadium
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.54)
1.25 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.3% | 29.4% | 47.0% |
best score tips
0 - 1
16.3%
0 - 0
13.1%
1 - 1
12.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Southend | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Hartlepool | 0 | 13.1% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.3% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Hartlepool | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 87% |
| Attack | 17% | 100% |
| Defense | 8% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
36%
FT probability
BTTS
66%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-3
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Hartlepool | Southend | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 22 | 22 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 44 |
| Wins | 41% | 36% | 39% | 55% | 45% | 50% |
| Draws | 32% | 32% | 32% | 32% | 23% | 27% |
| Loses | 27% | 32% | 30% | 14% | 32% | 23% |
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SouthendWWDWDWLWDLLDWWWDLWWLLWWDWDLLWWLDDDWWLDWWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Hartlepool | Southend | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 25 | 24 | 49 | 39 | 39 | 78 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 20 | 33 | 53 | 18 | 24 | 42 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Hartlepool | Southend | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 61% | 86% | 61% |
| 1.5 | 32% | 30% | 48% | 30% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 18% | 30% | 5% |
| 3.5 | 2% | 5% | 7% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 2% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Hartlepool | Southend | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 17 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 9 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Hartlepool | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Hartlepool | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 3 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-2 | 5-1 | 2-6 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 7-0 | 0-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 7 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Hartlepool | Southend |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 28% | 72% |
| Att | 13% | 88% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 40% | 60% |
| H2h | 64% | 36% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 38.2% | 62.0% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home4.09 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.63 @ Pinnacle
Away1.98 @ Betano
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.78 @ SBO
Under 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.25 @ BetVictor
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League standings
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