Mon, Apr 6 2026 • 14:00 •
The Mazuma Stadium
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.52)
2.31 (league 1.30)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.3% | 18.5% | 63.1% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.7%
0 - 2
9.5%
1 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Carlisle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Morecambe | 0 | 3.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Morecambe | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 80% |
| Attack | 77% | 92% |
| Defense | 31% | 62% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
90%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Morecambe | Carlisle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 21 | 20 | 41 | 20 | 21 | 41 |
| Wins | 19% | 20% | 20% | 65% | 62% | 63% |
| Draws | 24% | 25% | 24% | 20% | 10% | 15% |
| Loses | 57% | 55% | 56% | 15% | 29% | 22% |
Form: Morecambe: WLLLLDWLLLDLLWLDDLWDLLWLLDLLDLDLWDLWWDLLL • Carlisle: WDDWWLWWWWLLWWWDWWDWWLLWWWDLWLWWWLWDWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Morecambe | Carlisle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 27 | 32 | 59 | 47 | 31 | 78 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 2.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 41 | 45 | 86 | 24 | 25 | 49 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Morecambe | Carlisle | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 68% | 85% | 88% | 66% |
| 1.5 | 41% | 63% | 59% | 34% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 37% | 29% | 15% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 17% | 7% | 2% |
| 4.5 | 2% | 7% | 5% | 2% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Morecambe | Carlisle | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 6 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Morecambe | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Morecambe | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-5 | 5-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 2-5 | 5-0 | 0-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 6 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Morecambe | Carlisle |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 45% | 55% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 31% | 69% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 32.5% | 67.5% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Carlisle
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Morecambe = 1.03 (league 1.52), Carlisle = 2.31 (league 1.30)
| Carlisle | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Morecambe | 0 | 3.6% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| 1 | 3.6% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 63.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1