Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 18:15 • Arena Petrol Celje
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.67) 0.46 (league 1.43)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
69.0% 21.2% 8.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.8%
2 - 0
16.9%
0 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Olimpija Ljubljana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celje 0 10.5% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.8% 8.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.1% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack100%47%
Defense60%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Celje Olimpija Ljubljana
HATHAT
Played47116511
Wins100%86%91%33%60%45%
Draws0%14%9%17%20%18%
Loses0%0%0%50%20%36%

Form: Celje: WWWWWWWDWWW • Olimpija Ljubljana: WWLWLDWLLWD

League goals

Metric Celje Olimpija Ljubljana
HATHAT
GF total12243651116
GF avg3.03.43.30.82.21.5
GA total18911516
GA avg0.31.10.81.81.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%45%91%64%
1.5100%27%36%36%
2.582%9%18%27%
3.527%0%0%9%
4.518%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
HATHAT
Clean sheets336224
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricCeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricCeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Wins72
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-51-00-3
Biggest losses0-53-2
Goals For4513
Goals Against1353

Model comparison

MetricCeljeOlimpija Ljubljana
Form65%35%
Att70%30%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h50%50%
Goals59%41%
Total63.2%36.8%

Advice: Winner : Celje

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ William Hill
Draw4.15 @ Marathonbet
Away6.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.38 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.37 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Celje = 1.79 (league 1.67), Olimpija Ljubljana = 0.46 (league 1.43)

Olimpija Ljubljana
0 1 2 3 4 5
Celje 0 10.5% 4.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 18.8% 8.7% 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.9% 7.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.1% 4.6% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 69.0% · Draw 21.2% · Away win 8.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1