Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 11:30 • Mordovia Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.72 (league 1.57) 1.54 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.5% 23.1% 34.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.2%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Akhmat
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nizhny Novgorod 0 3.9% 5.9% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
1 6.6% 10.2% 7.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.3% 5.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNizhny NovgorodAkhmat
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack50%80%
Defense30%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nizhny Novgorod Akhmat
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%0%25%50%0%25%
Draws0%0%0%25%50%38%
Loses50%100%75%25%50%38%

Form: Nizhny Novgorod: LLLLWLLW • Akhmat: LLLWWDDD

League goals

Metric Nizhny Novgorod Akhmat
HATHAT
GF total707549
GF avg1.80.00.91.31.01.1
GA total78154610
GA avg1.82.01.91.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNizhny NovgorodAkhmat
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.538%88%75%88%
1.538%63%25%38%
2.513%38%13%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNizhny NovgorodAkhmat
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score145112

Penalties

MetricNizhny NovgorodAkhmat
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNizhny NovgorodAkhmat
Wins12
Draws00
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-13-1
Biggest losses0-33-00-22-1
Goals For3032
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricNizhny NovgorodAkhmat
Form40%60%
Att38%62%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h40%60%
Goals35%65%
Total41.7%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Akhmat

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.89 @ 1xBet
Draw3.60 @ 1xBet
Away2.08 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.13 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nizhny Novgorod = 1.72 (league 1.57), Akhmat = 1.54 (league 1.17)

Akhmat
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nizhny Novgorod 0 3.9% 5.9% 4.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
1 6.6% 10.2% 7.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.8% 6.7% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.3% 5.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.5% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 34.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1