Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 11:30 • Lukoil Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.57) 2.56 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.7% 18.2% 56.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.5%
1 - 3
7.3%
1 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Krylia Sovetov
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Moscow 0 1.7% 4.5% 5.7% 4.9% 3.1% 1.6%
1 2.6% 6.6% 8.5% 7.3% 4.6% 2.4%
2 1.9% 5.0% 6.3% 5.4% 3.5% 1.8%
3 1.0% 2.5% 3.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack100%60%
Defense10%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.812 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Moscow Krylia Sovetov
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%50%25%38%
Draws25%50%38%25%50%38%
Loses25%25%25%25%25%25%

Form: Spartak Moscow: WLDLDWWD • Krylia Sovetov: DWWDLLDW

League goals

Metric Spartak Moscow Krylia Sovetov
HATHAT
GF total57125813
GF avg1.31.81.51.32.01.6
GA total67137714
GA avg1.51.81.61.81.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%88%75%
1.563%50%50%38%
2.50%25%13%25%
3.50%13%13%13%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
HATHAT
Clean sheets112202
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricSpartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSpartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
Wins22
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-01-4
Biggest losses0-34-20-63-1
Goals For2224
Goals Against3463

Model comparison

MetricSpartak MoscowKrylia Sovetov
Form62%38%
Att63%38%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution38%62%
H2h100%0%
Goals94%6%
Total62.8%37.4%

Advice: Double chance : Spartak Moscow or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ 1xBet
Draw4.92 @ Pinnacle
Away8.38 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.10 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Moscow = 1.49 (league 1.57), Krylia Sovetov = 2.56 (league 1.17)

Krylia Sovetov
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Moscow 0 1.7% 4.5% 5.7% 4.9% 3.1% 1.6%
1 2.6% 6.6% 8.5% 7.3% 4.6% 2.4%
2 1.9% 5.0% 6.3% 5.4% 3.5% 1.8%
3 1.0% 2.5% 3.1% 2.7% 1.7% 0.9%
4 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.7% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 56.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1