Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 13:30 • RZD Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.40 (league 1.57) 2.76 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.3% 12.1% 16.1%
best score tips
4 - 2
4.6%
4 - 3
4.3%
3 - 2
4.2%
Score & goals probability table
Rubin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5%
2 0.8% 2.1% 2.9% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0%
3 1.1% 3.0% 4.2% 3.9% 2.7% 1.5%
4 1.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.3% 2.9% 1.6%
5 1.1% 2.9% 4.1% 3.7% 2.6% 1.4%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLokomotivRubin
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack57%43%
Defense43%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lokomotiv Rubin
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%40%44%60%25%44%
Draws50%60%56%20%50%33%
Loses0%0%0%20%25%22%

Form: Lokomotiv: WWWWDDDDD • Rubin: WDWLWLDWD

League goals

Metric Lokomotiv Rubin
HATHAT
GF total128206713
GF avg3.01.62.21.21.81.4
GA total76135914
GA avg1.81.21.41.02.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLokomotivRubin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%89%89%67%
1.567%44%56%56%
2.544%11%0%11%
3.511%0%0%11%
4.50%0%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLokomotivRubin
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricLokomotivRubin
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricLokomotivRubin
Wins41
Draws01
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-32-10-2
Biggest losses0-25-1
Goals For4322
Goals Against3225

Model comparison

MetricLokomotivRubin
Form38%62%
Att57%43%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h50%50%
Goals57%43%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Lokomotiv and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.93 @ 1xBet
Draw3.91 @ Pinnacle
Away4.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.22 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.37 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lokomotiv = 4.40 (league 1.57), Rubin = 2.76 (league 1.17)

Rubin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lokomotiv 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
1 0.3% 0.9% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 0.5%
2 0.8% 2.1% 2.9% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0%
3 1.1% 3.0% 4.2% 3.9% 2.7% 1.5%
4 1.2% 3.3% 4.6% 4.3% 2.9% 1.6%
5 1.1% 2.9% 4.1% 3.7% 2.6% 1.4%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.3% · Draw 12.1% · Away win 16.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1