Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 16:30 • Lukoil Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.57) 1.08 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.0% 23.3% 22.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Nizhny Novgorod
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Moscow 0 5.7% 6.2% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.0% 5.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.8% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak MoscowNizhny Novgorod
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack63%38%
Defense63%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Moscow Nizhny Novgorod
HATHAT
Played549549
Wins60%25%44%40%0%22%
Draws20%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses20%25%22%60%100%78%

Form: Spartak Moscow: WLDLDWWDW • Nizhny Novgorod: LLLLWLLWL

League goals

Metric Spartak Moscow Nizhny Novgorod
HATHAT
GF total7714808
GF avg1.41.81.61.60.00.9
GA total77149817
GA avg1.41.81.61.82.01.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak MoscowNizhny Novgorod
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%78%44%89%
1.567%44%33%67%
2.50%22%11%33%
3.50%11%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak MoscowNizhny Novgorod
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score101145

Penalties

MetricSpartak MoscowNizhny Novgorod
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricSpartak MoscowNizhny Novgorod
Wins21
Draws10
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-23-1
Biggest losses0-34-20-33-0
Goals For2230
Goals Against3433

Model comparison

MetricSpartak MoscowNizhny Novgorod
Form65%35%
Att63%38%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals100%0%
Total69.5%30.8%

Advice: Double chance : Spartak Moscow or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.34 @ 1xBet
Draw6.13 @ Pinnacle
Away12.25 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.66 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.09 @ 188Bet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Moscow = 1.78 (league 1.57), Nizhny Novgorod = 1.08 (league 1.17)

Nizhny Novgorod
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Moscow 0 5.7% 6.2% 3.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
1 10.2% 11.0% 5.9% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
2 9.1% 9.8% 5.3% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.8% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.0% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 22.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1