Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:00 • Rostec Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.57) 0.14 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.3% 32.2% 4.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
31.8%
0 - 0
27.7%
2 - 0
18.2%
Score & goals probability table
Dinamo Makhachkala
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baltika 0 27.7% 3.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.8% 4.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack24%12%
Defense94%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

53%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baltika Dinamo Makhachkala
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins25%50%40%40%0%20%
Draws75%33%50%60%20%40%
Loses0%17%10%0%80%40%

Form: Baltika: DWWDDWWDDL • Dinamo Makhachkala: LDWDLLWLDD

League goals

Metric Baltika Dinamo Makhachkala
HATHAT
GF total4913415
GF avg1.01.51.30.80.20.5
GA total3362911
GA avg0.80.50.60.41.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%50%50%70%
1.540%10%0%20%
2.520%0%0%10%
3.50%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
HATHAT
Clean sheets235303
Failed to score213145

Penalties

MetricBaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricBaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
Wins21
Draws21
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-31-0
Biggest losses1-04-0
Goals For3311
Goals Against2114

Model comparison

MetricBaltikaDinamo Makhachkala
Form62%38%
Att67%33%
Def86%14%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h67%33%
Goals56%44%
Total71.5%28.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Baltika or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 188Bet
Draw3.38 @ Marathonbet
Away5.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.70 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.53 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ 1xBet
No1.60 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baltika = 1.15 (league 1.57), Dinamo Makhachkala = 0.14 (league 1.17)

Dinamo Makhachkala
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baltika 0 27.7% 3.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 31.8% 4.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.2% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.3% · Draw 32.2% · Away win 4.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1