Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 16:45 • VTB Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.57) 1.64 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.4% 24.4% 46.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dynamo 0 5.7% 9.4% 7.7% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
1 7.0% 11.5% 9.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.3% 7.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.7% 2.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDynamoLokomotiv
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack100%73%
Defense45%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Dynamo Lokomotiv
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%40%40%60%40%50%
Draws40%20%30%40%60%50%
Loses20%40%30%0%0%0%

Form: Dynamo: DWLDLWLDWW • Lokomotiv: WWWWDDDDDW

League goals

Metric Dynamo Lokomotiv
HATHAT
GF total871513821
GF avg1.61.41.52.61.62.1
GA total66127613
GA avg1.21.21.21.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDynamoLokomotiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%80%100%80%
1.540%30%60%40%
2.530%10%40%10%
3.50%0%10%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDynamoLokomotiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets202202
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricDynamoLokomotiv
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricDynamoLokomotiv
Wins14
Draws15
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-33-02-3
Biggest losses1-31-0
Goals For3343
Goals Against3232

Model comparison

MetricDynamoLokomotiv
Form59%41%
Att58%42%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h60%40%
Goals62%38%
Total56.3%43.7%

Advice: Double chance : Dynamo or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.06 @ 188Bet
Draw3.85 @ Pinnacle
Away3.85 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.82 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.14 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Superbet
No2.34 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Dynamo = 1.22 (league 1.57), Lokomotiv = 1.64 (league 1.17)

Lokomotiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Dynamo 0 5.7% 9.4% 7.7% 4.2% 1.7% 0.6%
1 7.0% 11.5% 9.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.3% 7.0% 5.7% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4%
3 1.7% 2.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.4% · Draw 24.4% · Away win 46.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1