Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 14:30 • Ozon Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.57) 1.23 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.5% 24.6% 29.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.6%
1 - 0
9.4%
2 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Akhmat
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Krasnodar 0 5.9% 7.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.4% 11.6% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.3% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC KrasnodarAkhmat
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense50%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Krasnodar Akhmat
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%60%60%60%20%40%
Draws0%40%20%20%40%30%
Loses40%0%20%20%40%30%

Form: FC Krasnodar: WLWWWWDWLD • Akhmat: LLLWWDDDWW

League goals

Metric FC Krasnodar Akhmat
HATHAT
GF total911208614
GF avg1.82.22.01.61.21.4
GA total6174711
GA avg1.20.20.70.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC KrasnodarAkhmat
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%50%80%80%
1.540%20%40%30%
2.530%0%20%0%
3.520%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC KrasnodarAkhmat
HATHAT
Clean sheets145202
Failed to score112112

Penalties

MetricFC KrasnodarAkhmat
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricFC KrasnodarAkhmat
Wins42
Draws13
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-10-63-01-2
Biggest losses0-20-22-1
Goals For5632
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricFC KrasnodarAkhmat
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h50%50%
Goals46%54%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Double chance : FC Krasnodar or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.69 @ 1xBet
Draw4.22 @ 1xBet
Away5.45 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.90 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.05 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.99 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Krasnodar = 1.61 (league 1.57), Akhmat = 1.23 (league 1.17)

Akhmat
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Krasnodar 0 5.9% 7.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
1 9.4% 11.6% 7.1% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.6% 9.3% 5.7% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5.0% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.5% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 29.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1