Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:15 • Ak Bars Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.42 (league 1.52) 1.60 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.7% 24.1% 41.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.1%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
Krylia Sovetov
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rubin 0 4.9% 7.8% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.9% 11.1% 8.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 7.9% 6.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRubinKrylia Sovetov
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack45%64%
Defense36%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.413 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rubin Krylia Sovetov
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%20%40%40%20%30%
Draws20%40%30%20%40%30%
Loses20%40%30%40%40%40%

Form: Rubin: WDWLWLDWDL • Krylia Sovetov: DWWDLLDWLL

League goals

Metric Rubin Krylia Sovetov
HATHAT
GF total67137916
GF avg1.21.41.31.41.81.6
GA total5101510919
GA avg1.02.01.52.01.81.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRubinKrylia Sovetov
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%70%90%80%
1.550%50%50%50%
2.50%10%10%30%
3.50%10%10%10%
4.50%10%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRubinKrylia Sovetov
HATHAT
Clean sheets213202
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricRubinKrylia Sovetov
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricRubinKrylia Sovetov
Wins12
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-22-01-4
Biggest losses0-25-10-63-1
Goals For2224
Goals Against2563

Model comparison

MetricRubinKrylia Sovetov
Form56%44%
Att42%58%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total48.2%51.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Krylia Sovetov

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.02 @ SBO
Draw3.74 @ 1xBet
Away4.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ SBO
Under 2.51.86 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Pinnacle
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rubin = 1.42 (league 1.52), Krylia Sovetov = 1.60 (league 1.12)

Krylia Sovetov
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rubin 0 4.9% 7.8% 6.2% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4%
1 6.9% 11.1% 8.9% 4.7% 1.9% 0.6%
2 4.9% 7.9% 6.3% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.3% 3.7% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 0.8% 1.3% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.7% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 41.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1