Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:15 • Fisht Olympic Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.52) 1.82 (league 1.10)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.3% 22.2% 62.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
0 - 2
13.0%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
Nizhny Novgorod
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Sochi 0 7.9% 14.3% 13.0% 7.9% 3.6% 1.3%
1 5.7% 10.4% 9.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.1% 3.7% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC SochiNizhny Novgorod
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack13%27%
Defense40%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.811 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Sochi Nizhny Novgorod
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins0%0%0%40%0%20%
Draws25%17%20%0%0%0%
Loses75%83%80%60%100%80%

Form: FC Sochi: LLLDLLLLLD • Nizhny Novgorod: LLLLWLLWLL

League goals

Metric FC Sochi Nizhny Novgorod
HATHAT
GF total235808
GF avg0.50.50.51.60.00.8
GA total10142491120
GA avg2.52.32.41.82.22.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC SochiNizhny Novgorod
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%90%40%90%
1.50%80%30%70%
2.50%40%10%40%
3.50%20%0%0%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC SochiNizhny Novgorod
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score235156

Penalties

MetricFC SochiNizhny Novgorod
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFC SochiNizhny Novgorod
Wins01
Draws10
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——3-1—
Biggest losses0-45-10-33-0
Goals For1130
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricFC SochiNizhny Novgorod
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h40%60%
Goals53%47%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nizhny Novgorod and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.17 @ 1xBet
Draw3.50 @ 1xBet
Away3.72 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Pinnacle
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Sochi = 0.72 (league 1.52), Nizhny Novgorod = 1.82 (league 1.10)

Nizhny Novgorod
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Sochi 0 7.9% 14.3% 13.0% 7.9% 3.6% 1.3%
1 5.7% 10.4% 9.4% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9%
2 2.1% 3.7% 3.4% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.3% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 62.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1