Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:15 • Lukoil Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.30 (league 1.57) 0.82 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.6% 28.7% 23.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.6%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
FC Rostov
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Moscow 0 12.0% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.6% 12.8% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.1% 8.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak MoscowFC Rostov
Played55
Form67%60%
Attack85%23%
Defense46%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Moscow FC Rostov
HATHAT
Played65115611
Wins67%20%45%40%17%27%
Draws17%40%27%40%33%36%
Loses17%40%27%20%50%36%

Form: Spartak Moscow: WLDLDWWDWWL • FC Rostov: LLLWLDDWDDW

League goals

Metric Spartak Moscow FC Rostov
HATHAT
GF total10919459
GF avg1.71.81.70.80.80.8
GA total710175712
GA avg1.22.01.51.01.21.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak MoscowFC Rostov
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%73%64%55%
1.573%45%9%27%
2.59%27%9%18%
3.50%9%0%9%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak MoscowFC Rostov
HATHAT
Clean sheets213325
Failed to score101134

Penalties

MetricSpartak MoscowFC Rostov
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSpartak MoscowFC Rostov
Wins21
Draws12
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-21-00-1
Biggest losses0-34-21-42-1
Goals For3213
Goals Against3443

Model comparison

MetricSpartak MoscowFC Rostov
Form53%47%
Att79%21%
Def13%88%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h40%60%
Goals57%43%
Total50.7%49.5%

Advice: Double chance : Spartak Moscow or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ 1xBet
Draw4.05 @ 1xBet
Away5.49 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.89 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Moscow = 1.30 (league 1.57), FC Rostov = 0.82 (league 1.17)

FC Rostov
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Moscow 0 12.0% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.6% 12.8% 5.2% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.1% 8.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 4.4% 3.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.6% · Draw 28.7% · Away win 23.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1