Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 17:15 • Gazprom Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.49 (league 1.52) 1.42 (league 1.12)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.7% 18.5% 20.4%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
3 - 1
7.3%
1 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
Lokomotiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zenit 0 2.0% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.0% 7.1% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.2% 8.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.1% 7.3% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZenitLokomotiv
Played55
Form87%73%
Attack100%92%
Defense67%58%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zenit Lokomotiv
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins83%29%54%67%43%54%
Draws17%57%38%33%57%46%
Loses0%14%8%0%0%0%

Form: Zenit: WDDLDWWDWWDWW • Lokomotiv: WWWWDDDDDWWWD

League goals

Metric Zenit Lokomotiv
HATHAT
GF total161026161430
GF avg2.71.42.02.72.02.3
GA total561171017
GA avg0.80.90.81.21.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZenitLokomotiv
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%62%100%77%
1.569%23%62%38%
2.523%0%46%15%
3.515%0%15%0%
4.58%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZenitLokomotiv
HATHAT
Clean sheets235303
Failed to score022000

Penalties

MetricZenitLokomotiv
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricZenitLokomotiv
Wins24
Draws25
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-33-03-5
Biggest losses—1-0——
Goals For5345
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricZenitLokomotiv
Form54%46%
Att54%46%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h38%62%
Goals43%57%
Total51.8%48.2%

Advice: Double chance : Zenit or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.63 @ 1xBet
Draw4.38 @ 1xBet
Away5.84 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.16 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ 188Bet
No2.15 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zenit = 2.49 (league 1.52), Lokomotiv = 1.42 (league 1.12)

Lokomotiv
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zenit 0 2.0% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
1 5.0% 7.1% 5.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.2% 8.8% 6.3% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
3 5.1% 7.3% 5.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.3%
4 3.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
5 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.7% · Draw 18.5% · Away win 20.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1