Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 11:00 • Gazovik Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.29 (league 1.51) 1.93 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.7% 17.9% 76.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.9%
0 - 2
20.2%
0 - 3
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Baltika
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Orenburg 0 10.8% 20.9% 20.2% 13.0% 6.3% 2.4%
1 3.2% 6.1% 5.9% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
2 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC OrenburgBaltika
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack31%62%
Defense62%92%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 11 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Orenburg Baltika
HATHAT
Played87157815
Wins13%14%13%43%50%47%
Draws50%14%33%57%38%47%
Loses38%71%53%0%13%7%

Form: FC Orenburg: DDLLWDDLLLLDLWL • Baltika: DWWDDWWDDLWWDWD

League goals

Metric FC Orenburg Baltika
HATHAT
GF total981791221
GF avg1.11.11.11.31.51.4
GA total111526437
GA avg1.42.11.70.60.40.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC OrenburgBaltika
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%93%73%40%
1.540%40%47%7%
2.57%27%20%0%
3.50%7%0%0%
4.50%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC OrenburgBaltika
HATHAT
Clean sheets101459
Failed to score325224

Penalties

MetricFC OrenburgBaltika
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricFC OrenburgBaltika
Wins12
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-00-3
Biggest losses1-35-2—1-0
Goals For3233
Goals Against3521

Model comparison

MetricFC OrenburgBaltika
Form27%73%
Att33%67%
Def17%83%
Poisson Distribution14%86%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total31.8%68.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Baltika and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.69 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.44 @ 1xBet
Away2.23 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.32 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.01 @ 188Bet
No1.94 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Orenburg = 0.29 (league 1.51), Baltika = 1.93 (league 1.09)

Baltika
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Orenburg 0 10.8% 20.9% 20.2% 13.0% 6.3% 2.4%
1 3.2% 6.1% 5.9% 3.8% 1.8% 0.7%
2 0.5% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.7% · Draw 17.9% · Away win 76.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1