Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 16:30 • Rostec Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.54) 0.93 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.5% 25.0% 21.9%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.7%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Moscow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baltika 0 7.9% 7.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.7% 11.8% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaltikaSpartak Moscow
Played55
Form60%67%
Attack60%60%
Defense90%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

72%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baltika Spartak Moscow
HATHAT
Played79169716
Wins43%44%44%67%29%50%
Draws57%44%50%22%29%25%
Loses0%11%6%11%43%25%

Form: Baltika: DWWDDWWDDLWWDWDD • Spartak Moscow: WLDLDWWDWWLDWLWW

League goals

Metric Baltika Spartak Moscow
HATHAT
GF total91221131225
GF avg1.31.31.31.41.71.6
GA total43781321
GA avg0.60.30.40.91.91.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaltikaSpartak Moscow
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%38%94%69%
1.544%6%56%38%
2.519%0%6%19%
3.50%0%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaltikaSpartak Moscow
HATHAT
Clean sheets4610415
Failed to score235101

Penalties

MetricBaltikaSpartak Moscow
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricBaltikaSpartak Moscow
Wins22
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-00-2
Biggest losses—1-00-34-2
Goals For3332
Goals Against2134

Model comparison

MetricBaltikaSpartak Moscow
Form47%53%
Att50%50%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total55.5%44.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Baltika or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.28 @ 1xBet
Away2.37 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.62 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.58 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ Pinnacle
No1.76 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baltika = 1.61 (league 1.54), Spartak Moscow = 0.93 (league 1.09)

Spartak Moscow
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baltika 0 7.9% 7.4% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.7% 11.8% 5.5% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.2% 9.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 5.4% 5.1% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.2% 2.0% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.5% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 21.9%

vtt 3 , vtd1