Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 16:00 • Akhmat-Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.18 (league 1.54) 1.28 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.5% 20.3% 21.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 1
8.7%
2 - 0
7.5%
Score & goals probability table
FC Orenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Akhmat 0 3.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.8% 8.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.4% 7.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAkhmatFC Orenburg
Played55
Form20%27%
Attack38%23%
Defense23%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 13 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Akhmat FC Orenburg
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins50%11%29%11%13%12%
Draws13%33%24%56%13%35%
Loses38%56%47%33%75%53%

Form: Akhmat: LLLWWDDDWWLDLLLLW • FC Orenburg: DDLLWDDLLLLDLWLDL

League goals

Metric Akhmat FC Orenburg
HATHAT
GF total138219817
GF avg1.60.91.21.01.01.0
GA total111425111728
GA avg1.41.61.51.22.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAkhmatFC Orenburg
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%88%59%88%
1.541%47%35%41%
2.512%6%6%24%
3.50%6%0%6%
4.50%0%0%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAkhmatFC Orenburg
HATHAT
Clean sheets202202
Failed to score145437

Penalties

MetricAkhmatFC Orenburg
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricAkhmatFC Orenburg
Wins21
Draws32
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-23-11-2
Biggest losses2-42-01-35-2
Goals For3232
Goals Against4235

Model comparison

MetricAkhmatFC Orenburg
Form43%57%
Att63%38%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution66%34%
H2h38%62%
Goals44%56%
Total47.8%52.3%

Advice: Double chance : Akhmat or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ 1xBet
Draw3.75 @ 188Bet
Away4.20 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.99 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.98 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.83 @ 188Bet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Akhmat = 2.18 (league 1.54), FC Orenburg = 1.28 (league 1.09)

FC Orenburg
0 1 2 3 4 5
Akhmat 0 3.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
1 6.8% 8.7% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.6% 6.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.4% 7.0% 4.5% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.0% 3.8% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.5% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 21.6%

vtt 14 , vtd1