Mon, Mar 2 2026 • 12:00 • Fisht Olympic Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.55) 2.89 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
7.6% 12.7% 72.4%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.3%
0 - 3
9.9%
1 - 2
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Spartak Moscow
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Sochi 0 2.5% 7.1% 10.3% 9.9% 7.2% 4.1%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.4% 8.1% 5.8% 3.4%
2 0.8% 2.4% 3.4% 3.3% 2.4% 1.4%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC SochiSpartak Moscow
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack33%33%
Defense27%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Sochi Spartak Moscow
HATHAT
Played991810818
Wins11%11%11%60%25%44%
Draws22%11%17%30%25%28%
Loses67%78%72%10%50%28%

Form: FC Sochi: LLLDLLLLLDWLWLLLDL • Spartak Moscow: WLDLDWWDWWLDWLWWLD

League goals

Metric FC Sochi Spartak Moscow
HATHAT
GF total61016141226
GF avg0.71.10.91.41.51.4
GA total19224191423
GA avg2.12.42.30.91.81.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC SochiSpartak Moscow
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%89%89%72%
1.522%72%50%33%
2.56%44%6%17%
3.56%17%0%6%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC SochiSpartak Moscow
HATHAT
Clean sheets112415
Failed to score538112

Penalties

MetricFC SochiSpartak Moscow
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricFC SochiSpartak Moscow
Wins12
Draws11
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-43-00-2
Biggest losses0-45-10-34-2
Goals For2432
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricFC SochiSpartak Moscow
Form13%88%
Att50%50%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution21%79%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total29.5%70.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Spartak Moscow

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.42 @ 1xBet
Away1.59 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.97 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.07 @ 188Bet
No1.80 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Sochi = 0.81 (league 1.55), Spartak Moscow = 2.89 (league 1.09)

Spartak Moscow
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Sochi 0 2.5% 7.1% 10.3% 9.9% 7.2% 4.1%
1 2.0% 5.8% 8.4% 8.1% 5.8% 3.4%
2 0.8% 2.4% 3.4% 3.3% 2.4% 1.4%
3 0.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.4%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.6% · Draw 12.7% · Away win 72.4%

vtt 6 , vtd1