Sat, Mar 7 2026 • 16:00 • Sovcombank Arena
Not Started
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.54) 1.31 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.0% 25.7% 34.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
9.3%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
FC Sochi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nizhny Novgorod 0 6.6% 8.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.3% 12.2% 8.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.6% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNizhny NovgorodFC Sochi
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack25%38%
Defense69%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

80%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nizhny Novgorod FC Sochi
HATHAT
Played9101910919
Wins22%20%21%10%11%11%
Draws22%0%11%20%11%16%
Loses56%80%68%70%78%74%

Form: Nizhny Novgorod: LLLLWLLWLLLLDLDLWWL • FC Sochi: LLLDLLLLLDWLWLLLDLL

League goals

Metric Nizhny Novgorod FC Sochi
HATHAT
GF total851381018
GF avg0.90.50.70.81.10.9
GA total121830222244
GA avg1.31.81.62.22.42.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNizhny NovgorodFC Sochi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.542%79%58%89%
1.521%58%26%74%
2.55%21%5%47%
3.50%0%5%16%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNizhny NovgorodFC Sochi
HATHAT
Clean sheets314112
Failed to score5611538

Penalties

MetricNizhny NovgorodFC Sochi
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricNizhny NovgorodFC Sochi
Wins21
Draws11
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-12-4
Biggest losses0-33-00-45-1
Goals For3224
Goals Against3345

Model comparison

MetricNizhny NovgorodFC Sochi
Form88%13%
Att40%60%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total53.7%46.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Sochi

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.48 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ 188Bet
Away3.40 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.67 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nizhny Novgorod = 1.40 (league 1.54), FC Sochi = 1.31 (league 1.09)

FC Sochi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nizhny Novgorod 0 6.6% 8.7% 5.7% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
1 9.3% 12.2% 8.0% 3.5% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.5% 8.6% 5.6% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.1% 4.0% 2.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.0% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 34.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1