Sun, Mar 8 2026 • 09:00 • Gazovik Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.57 (league 1.55) 1.39 (league 1.11)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.2% 27.7% 56.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
19.7%
0 - 0
14.2%
0 - 2
13.6%
Score & goals probability table
Zenit
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Orenburg 0 14.2% 19.7% 13.6% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6%
1 8.0% 11.1% 7.7% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 2.3% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC OrenburgZenit
Played55
Form27%87%
Attack13%47%
Defense73%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.81 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Orenburg Zenit
HATHAT
Played1091910919
Wins20%11%16%90%33%63%
Draws50%11%32%10%56%32%
Loses30%78%53%0%11%5%

Form: FC Orenburg: DDLLWDDLLLLDLWLDLLW • Zenit: WDDLDWWDWWDWWWDWWWW

League goals

Metric FC Orenburg Zenit
HATHAT
GF total11819221335
GF avg1.10.91.02.21.41.8
GA total1118295712
GA avg1.12.01.50.50.80.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC OrenburgZenit
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.558%84%89%47%
1.537%37%63%16%
2.55%21%16%0%
3.50%5%11%0%
4.50%5%5%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC OrenburgZenit
HATHAT
Clean sheets3036410
Failed to score448022

Penalties

MetricFC OrenburgZenit
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricFC OrenburgZenit
Wins13
Draws22
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-00-3
Biggest losses1-35-2—1-0
Goals For3253
Goals Against3522

Model comparison

MetricFC OrenburgZenit
Form24%76%
Att22%78%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution29%71%
H2h0%100%
Goals22%78%
Total23.4%76.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Zenit and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.72 @ 1xBet
Away1.51 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.06 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Orenburg = 0.57 (league 1.55), Zenit = 1.39 (league 1.11)

Zenit
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Orenburg 0 14.2% 19.7% 13.6% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6%
1 8.0% 11.1% 7.7% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 2.3% 3.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.2% · Draw 27.7% · Away win 56.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1