Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 • Sovcombank Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.55) 0.95 (league 1.09)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.1% 26.2% 24.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.4%
2 - 0
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Krylia Sovetov
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nizhny Novgorod 0 8.8% 8.3% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.4% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.2% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNizhny NovgorodKrylia Sovetov
Played55
Form60%40%
Attack75%50%
Defense25%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.211 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nizhny Novgorod Krylia Sovetov
HATHAT
Played10102091120
Wins30%20%25%44%9%25%
Draws20%0%10%33%18%25%
Loses50%80%65%22%73%50%

Form: Nizhny Novgorod: LLLLWLLWLLLLDLDLWWLW • Krylia Sovetov: DWWDLLDWLLLDLLDWLLLW

League goals

Metric Nizhny Novgorod Krylia Sovetov
HATHAT
GF total1051513922
GF avg1.00.50.81.40.81.1
GA total131831122537
GA avg1.31.81.61.32.31.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNizhny NovgorodKrylia Sovetov
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.545%80%65%80%
1.525%55%35%50%
2.55%20%5%25%
3.50%0%5%15%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNizhny NovgorodKrylia Sovetov
HATHAT
Clean sheets314404
Failed to score5611167

Penalties

MetricNizhny NovgorodKrylia Sovetov
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricNizhny NovgorodKrylia Sovetov
Wins22
Draws11
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-22-01-4
Biggest losses0-33-00-65-0
Goals For3224
Goals Against3365

Model comparison

MetricNizhny NovgorodKrylia Sovetov
Form60%40%
Att60%40%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Double chance : Nizhny Novgorod or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ 1xBet
Draw3.26 @ 1xBet
Away3.50 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.36 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.69 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.96 @ 188Bet
No1.91 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nizhny Novgorod = 1.48 (league 1.55), Krylia Sovetov = 0.95 (league 1.09)

Krylia Sovetov
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nizhny Novgorod 0 8.8% 8.3% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.0% 12.4% 5.9% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 9.2% 4.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.8% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 26.2% · Away win 24.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1